AccuScore Game Preview: Cardinals AT Dodgers [Game 4, NLCS]

AccuScore Game Preview: Cardinals AT Dodgers [Game 4, NLCS]

The Los Angeles Dodgers hope to even the series at two games apiece today as they get set to once again host the St. Louis Cardinals at Dodgers Stadium. As of now, Ricky Nolasco is set to take the mound. Dodgers manager Don Mattingly mentioned that had the Dodgers lost Game 3, the team would have most likely started Zack Greinke on three days rest in tonight’s game.

With that said, it seems that going with Nolasco is the perfect choice for today’s game. Even if L.A. loses, they still have Kershaw and Greinke in games 5 and 6.

The Dodgers acquired Nolasco prior to the 2013 trading deadline; he has had no trouble with the Cardinals at all this season posting a 0.75 ERA in twelve innings of work. Nolasco has also been solid at home with a 2.48 ERA in seven games.

AccuScore data has the Dodgers as slight 59.5 percent favorites to win game 4. The average score after 10,000 simulations is: 3.8 – 3.3.

Game Projection RUNS
St. Louis Cardinals 3.3
Los Angeles Dodgers 3.8
Live Betting Predictions
Run Line AccuScore Probability
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 58.1%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 41.9%
Over / Under AccuScore Probability
OVR 7 38.8%
UND 7 49.0%
Money Line AccuScore Probability
St. Louis Cardinals +115 40.5%
Los Angeles Dodgers -125 59.5%
TEAM WIN % PTS BIG WIN CLOSE WIN
STL 40.5% 3.3 12.3% 21.9%
LAD 59.5% 3.8 18.3% 32.2%

Big Win is by 4 or more runs; Close Win is by 2 or less runs.

 

St. Louis Cardinals
Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Matt Carpenter 4.1 0.5 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.07
Carlos Beltran 4.1 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.9 0.17
Matt Holliday 3.9 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.14
Matt Adams 4.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 1.3 0.16
Yadier Molina 3.9 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.11
Jon Jay 3.7 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.03
David Freese 3.6 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.08
Pete Kozma 3.5 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.2 1.0 0.01
Lance Lynn 3.4 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.2 1.6 0.00
TOTAL 34.2 3.3 8.6 3.3 2.5 8.7 0.77
Pitching IP H R ER BB K HR W L
Lance Lynn 5.7 6.1 2.6 2.5 2.0 6.1 0.61 0.34 0.49
Relievers 2.7 2.8 1.1 1.1 0.8 3.0 0.24 0.07 0.10
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Carl Crawford 4.2 0.5 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.07
Mark Ellis 4.0 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.05
Adrian Gonzalez 3.9 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.9 0.12
Hanley Ramirez 3.7 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.9 0.18
Andre Ethier 3.6 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.0 0.08
Yasiel Puig 3.6 0.5 1.2 0.6 0.3 1.2 0.16
Juan Uribe 3.5 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.3 1.0 0.10
A.J. Ellis 3.3 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.08
Ricky Nolasco 3.3 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.5 0.00
TOTAL 33.1 3.8 8.9 3.8 3.0 9.2 0.84
Pitching IP H R ER BB K HR W L
Ricky Nolasco 6.2 6.0 2.2 2.1 1.5 5.6 0.54 0.51 0.33
Relievers 2.7 2.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.23 0.08 0.08